Calibration
Probability calibration curves and layer weights
2026-03-06 23:24 UTC
Probability-Distance Curve Lookup
Calibration Bins
Select parameters and click "Fetch Curve" to view calibration data
Curve Metadata
Calibration curves map raw layer scores to empirical hit rates, enabling probability-calibrated signal aggregation.
Pipeline
- Layer produces raw signal score
- Score mapped to calibration bin for current regime
- Bin hit_rate becomes calibrated probability
- Regime multiplier applied if applicable
- Weighted aggregation across all layers
Available API Endpoints
- GET /v1/calibration/probability-distance
- POST /v1/calibration/bins
- POST /v1/calibration/regime-multiplier
- POST /v1/calibration/weights
Horizon Expiry Diagnostics
Load expiry stats to see how often setups fail to resolve within the configured horizon.
Calibration Registry + Incremental Value
Latest Table Version: not available
No layer incremental value rows yet for EUR/USD 4H.
Calibration data is generated by the calibration worker resolving historical predictions against canonical target definitions. Curves are regime-specific and rebuilt periodically.